
Mississippi State (11-10, 3-5 SEC)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 11 seed | 12 | Miss |
| | 0.02% | 0.01% | 99.97% |
| 20-11 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 19-12 | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.11% |
| 18-13 | 1.04% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.03% |
| 17-14 | 4.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.23% |
| 16-15 | 11.03% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 11.02% |
| 15-16 | 21.15% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.15% |
| 14-17 | 27.25% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.25% |
| 13-18 | 21.79% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.79% |
| 12-19 | 11.13% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.13% |
| 11-20 | 2.25% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.25% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 11 seed | 12 | Miss |
| | 0.02% | 0.01% | 99.97% |
| 12-6 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 11-7 | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.11% |
| 10-8 | 1.04% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.03% |
| 9-9 | 4.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.23% |
| 8-10 | 11.03% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 11.02% |
| 7-11 | 21.15% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.15% |
| 6-12 | 27.25% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.25% |
| 5-13 | 21.79% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.79% |
| 4-14 | 11.13% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.13% |
| 3-15 | 2.25% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.25% |