
Tarleton State (10-11, 6-6 Western Athletic)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 14 seed | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.02% | 0.94% | 2.67% | 96.36% |
| 16-11 | 0.77% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.7% |
| 15-12 | 6.34% | 0.01% | 0.35% | 0.24% | 5.74% |
| 14-13 | 19.82% | 0.0% | 0.29% | 0.64% | 18.89% |
| 13-14 | 31.35% | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.75% | 30.45% |
| 12-15 | 27.23% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 26.43% |
| 11-16 | 12.21% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.3% | 11.89% |
| 10-17 | 2.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 2.25% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 14 seed | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.02% | 0.94% | 2.67% | 96.36% |
| 12-6 | 0.77% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.7% |
| 11-7 | 6.34% | 0.01% | 0.35% | 0.24% | 5.74% |
| 10-8 | 19.82% | 0.0% | 0.29% | 0.64% | 18.89% |
| 9-9 | 31.35% | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.75% | 30.45% |
| 8-10 | 27.23% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 26.43% |
| 7-11 | 12.21% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.3% | 11.89% |
| 6-12 | 2.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 2.25% |
Western Athletic Projected Standings