
Tarleton State (8-8, 4-3 Western Athletic)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.12% | 1.5% | 2.35% | 96.03% |
| 19-8 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 18-9 | 0.2% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.14% |
| 17-10 | 0.86% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.1% | 0.02% | 0.69% |
| 16-11 | 3.48% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.28% | 0.11% | 3.05% |
| 15-12 | 8.87% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.4% | 0.43% | 8.02% |
| 14-13 | 16.49% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.43% | 0.69% | 15.35% |
| 13-14 | 22.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.19% | 0.44% | 21.64% |
| 12-15 | 22.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 0.41% | 21.86% |
| 11-16 | 15.22% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 15.04% |
| 10-17 | 7.65% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 7.58% |
| 9-18 | 2.33% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 2.31% |
| 8-19 | 0.33% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.33% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.12% | 1.5% | 2.35% | 96.03% |
| 15-3 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 14-4 | 0.2% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.14% |
| 13-5 | 0.88% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.11% | 0.02% | 0.7% |
| 12-6 | 3.55% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.28% | 0.12% | 3.12% |
| 11-7 | 9.04% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.4% | 0.42% | 8.19% |
| 10-8 | 16.72% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.45% | 0.7% | 15.55% |
| 9-9 | 22.38% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.18% | 0.45% | 21.74% |
| 8-10 | 22.08% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.41% | 21.66% |
| 7-11 | 15.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 14.87% |
| 6-12 | 7.53% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 7.46% |
| 5-13 | 2.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 2.25% |
| 4-14 | 0.32% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.32% |
Western Athletic Projected Standings