Overall Record

Record	% chance	1 seed	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Miss
		0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.17%	0.22%	0.46%	0.66%	1.15%	1.53%	2.69%	5.94%	8.27%	8.3%	3.49%	1.08%	0.11%	65.86%
31-0	0.13%	0.01%	0.03%	0.02%	0.02%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
30-1	0.57%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.09%	0.08%	0.08%	0.07%	0.11%	0.05%	0.04%	0.05%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
29-2	1.89%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.06%	0.08%	0.25%	0.32%	0.32%	0.28%	0.3%	0.25%	0.03%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%
28-3	3.37%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.04%	0.12%	0.17%	0.43%	0.61%	0.73%	0.77%	0.34%	0.02%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.13%
27-4	5.77%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.07%	0.23%	0.4%	0.87%	1.88%	1.32%	0.13%	0.01%	0.01%	0.0%	0.85%
26-5	7.82%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.06%	0.16%	0.48%	1.67%	2.16%	0.5%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	2.77%
25-6	9.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.03%	0.22%	0.9%	2.14%	1.14%	0.04%	0.0%	0.0%	5.14%
24-7	10.28%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.03%	0.29%	1.23%	1.67%	0.13%	0.0%	0.0%	6.93%
23-8	11.52%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.1%	0.71%	1.89%	0.29%	0.02%	0.0%	8.5%
22-9	10.57%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.24%	1.53%	0.66%	0.02%	0.0%	8.09%
21-10	9.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.09%	0.79%	0.88%	0.11%	0.0%	7.73%
20-11	7.99%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.44%	0.66%	0.13%	0.0%	6.75%
19-12	6.66%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.16%	0.55%	0.22%	0.01%	5.72%
18-13	4.74%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.04%	0.18%	0.22%	0.01%	4.3%
17-14	3.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.06%	0.16%	0.01%	3.28%
16-15	2.38%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.15%	0.03%	2.19%
15-16	1.71%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.07%	0.02%	1.62%
14-17	0.89%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.05%	0.84%
13-18	0.52%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.51%
12-19	0.33%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.33%
11-20	0.09%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.09%
10-21	0.06%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.06%
9-22	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%
8-23	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%
7-24	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%

Conference Record

Record	% chance	1 seed	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Miss
		0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.17%	0.22%	0.46%	0.66%	1.15%	1.53%	2.69%	5.94%	8.27%	8.3%	3.49%	1.08%	0.11%	65.86%
20-0	0.55%	0.01%	0.03%	0.02%	0.04%	0.06%	0.06%	0.08%	0.06%	0.07%	0.06%	0.07%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
19-1	2.25%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.11%	0.09%	0.17%	0.19%	0.26%	0.33%	0.36%	0.39%	0.21%	0.02%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.12%
18-2	5.31%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.05%	0.17%	0.28%	0.42%	0.46%	0.8%	1.25%	0.89%	0.16%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.82%
17-3	8.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.06%	0.11%	0.32%	0.43%	0.79%	1.84%	1.9%	0.54%	0.06%	0.01%	0.0%	2.74%
16-4	11.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.1%	0.19%	0.46%	1.48%	2.29%	1.39%	0.08%	0.0%	0.0%	5.6%
15-5	13.43%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.05%	0.17%	0.7%	1.74%	1.86%	0.33%	0.03%	0.0%	8.55%
14-6	13.44%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.05%	0.18%	0.78%	1.81%	0.69%	0.05%	0.0%	9.87%
13-7	12.67%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.04%	0.34%	1.36%	0.76%	0.11%	0.0%	10.07%
12-8	10.72%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.1%	0.82%	0.75%	0.22%	0.01%	8.83%
11-9	8.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.25%	0.59%	0.23%	0.01%	6.91%
10-10	5.35%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.09%	0.16%	0.21%	0.01%	4.88%
9-11	3.54%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.06%	0.11%	0.04%	3.33%
8-12	2.36%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.09%	0.02%	2.25%
7-13	1.13%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.04%	0.03%	1.06%
6-14	0.51%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.5%
5-15	0.24%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.24%
4-16	0.08%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.08%
3-17	0.02%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%
2-18	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%

Missouri Valley Projected Standings

Team	Wins	Losses
Murray State	13.72	6.28
UIC	12.9	7.1
Illinois State	11.91	8.09
Valparaiso	11.82	8.18
Belmont	10.55	9.45
Drake	9.7	10.3
Northern Iowa	9.3	10.7
Southern Illinois	8.61	11.39
Indiana State	8.02	11.98
Bradley	7.68	12.32
Evansville	5.78	14.22

Murray State (2-0, 0-0 Missouri Valley)

Win conference:

32.06%

Make tournament:

34.14%

Auto bid:

25.15%

Final Four:

0.13%

Win championship:

0.01%

Overall Record

Conference Record

Missouri Valley Projected Standings