
Murray State (16-6, 8-3 Missouri Valley)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 11 seed | 12 | 13 | 14 | Miss |
| | 0.66% | 14.8% | 2.24% | 0.01% | 82.31% |
| 25-6 | 0.58% | 0.07% | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.34% |
| 24-7 | 4.33% | 0.29% | 1.59% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 2.43% |
| 23-8 | 13.24% | 0.16% | 3.86% | 0.15% | 0.0% | 9.07% |
| 22-9 | 23.76% | 0.12% | 4.15% | 0.43% | 0.0% | 19.06% |
| 21-10 | 26.8% | 0.02% | 3.56% | 0.77% | 0.0% | 22.46% |
| 20-11 | 19.48% | 0.01% | 1.21% | 0.66% | 0.0% | 17.61% |
| 19-12 | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.25% | 0.17% | 0.0% | 8.58% |
| 18-13 | 2.45% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 2.38% |
| 17-14 | 0.34% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.34% |
| 16-15 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 11 seed | 12 | 13 | 14 | Miss |
| | 0.66% | 14.8% | 2.24% | 0.01% | 82.31% |
| 17-3 | 0.58% | 0.07% | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.34% |
| 16-4 | 4.33% | 0.29% | 1.59% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 2.43% |
| 15-5 | 13.24% | 0.16% | 3.86% | 0.15% | 0.0% | 9.07% |
| 14-6 | 23.76% | 0.12% | 4.15% | 0.43% | 0.0% | 19.06% |
| 13-7 | 26.8% | 0.02% | 3.56% | 0.77% | 0.0% | 22.46% |
| 12-8 | 19.48% | 0.01% | 1.21% | 0.66% | 0.0% | 17.61% |
| 11-9 | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.25% | 0.17% | 0.0% | 8.58% |
| 10-10 | 2.45% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 2.38% |
| 9-11 | 0.34% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.34% |
| 8-12 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% |
Missouri Valley Projected Standings