
South Dakota State (7-12, 3-4 The Summit League)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 15 seed | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.31% | 6.5% | 93.2% |
| 16-12 | 1.89% | 0.09% | 0.16% | 1.64% |
| 15-13 | 9.3% | 0.12% | 1.13% | 8.05% |
| 14-14 | 21.69% | 0.07% | 2.1% | 19.52% |
| 13-15 | 27.22% | 0.03% | 1.62% | 25.57% |
| 12-16 | 22.42% | 0.0% | 1.01% | 21.41% |
| 11-17 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.41% | 11.8% |
| 10-18 | 4.18% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 4.11% |
| 9-19 | 0.92% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.91% |
| 8-20 | 0.18% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.18% |
| 7-21 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 15 seed | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.31% | 6.5% | 93.2% |
| 12-4 | 1.89% | 0.09% | 0.16% | 1.64% |
| 11-5 | 9.3% | 0.12% | 1.13% | 8.05% |
| 10-6 | 21.69% | 0.07% | 2.1% | 19.52% |
| 9-7 | 27.22% | 0.03% | 1.62% | 25.57% |
| 8-8 | 22.42% | 0.0% | 1.01% | 21.41% |
| 7-9 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 0.41% | 11.8% |
| 6-10 | 4.18% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 4.11% |
| 5-11 | 0.92% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.91% |
| 4-12 | 0.18% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.18% |
| 3-13 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
The Summit League Projected Standings