
Morehead State (12-12, 11-5 Ohio Valley)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 15 seed | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.03% | 10.58% | 89.39% |
| 16-12 | 12.04% | 0.02% | 3.41% | 8.61% |
| 15-13 | 36.8% | 0.01% | 4.87% | 31.93% |
| 14-14 | 35.75% | 0.0% | 2.06% | 33.69% |
| 13-15 | 13.69% | 0.0% | 0.24% | 13.45% |
| 12-16 | 1.72% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.71% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 15 seed | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.03% | 10.58% | 89.39% |
| 15-5 | 12.04% | 0.02% | 3.41% | 8.61% |
| 14-6 | 36.8% | 0.01% | 4.87% | 31.93% |
| 13-7 | 35.75% | 0.0% | 2.06% | 33.69% |
| 12-8 | 13.69% | 0.0% | 0.24% | 13.45% |
| 11-9 | 1.72% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.71% |
Ohio Valley Projected Standings