
Tarleton State (7-9, 2-5 Western Athletic)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.53% | 1.67% | 1.23% | 96.56% |
| 17-9 | 0.07% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.06% |
| 16-10 | 0.78% | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.07% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| 15-11 | 3.83% | 0.0% | 0.23% | 0.28% | 0.01% | 3.31% |
| 14-12 | 10.3% | 0.01% | 0.14% | 0.44% | 0.08% | 9.65% |
| 13-13 | 20.01% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.57% | 0.22% | 19.18% |
| 12-14 | 25.17% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.26% | 0.44% | 24.46% |
| 11-15 | 21.63% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 0.27% | 21.31% |
| 10-16 | 12.41% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.16% | 12.25% |
| 9-17 | 4.66% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 4.6% |
| 8-18 | 1.05% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.04% |
| 7-19 | 0.11% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.11% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.53% | 1.67% | 1.23% | 96.56% |
| 12-5 | 0.08% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.06% |
| 11-6 | 0.89% | 0.01% | 0.13% | 0.08% | 0.0% | 0.69% |
| 10-7 | 4.13% | 0.0% | 0.23% | 0.29% | 0.01% | 3.6% |
| 9-8 | 10.88% | 0.01% | 0.13% | 0.44% | 0.08% | 10.23% |
| 8-9 | 20.68% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 0.61% | 0.25% | 19.8% |
| 7-10 | 25.15% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.21% | 0.44% | 24.5% |
| 6-11 | 21.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.28% | 20.9% |
| 5-12 | 11.73% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.13% | 11.6% |
| 4-13 | 4.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 4.18% |
| 3-14 | 0.95% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.94% |
| 2-15 | 0.08% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% |
Western Athletic Projected Standings