
Mississippi State (18-8, 5-7 SEC)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 6 seed | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Miss |
| | 0.09% | 1.4% | 9.83% | 25.27% | 44.0% | 9.72% | 0.85% | 0.03% | 8.81% |
| 22-8 | 1.04% | 0.09% | 0.56% | 0.38% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21-9 | 13.25% | 0.0% | 0.79% | 6.06% | 5.68% | 0.71% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20-10 | 42.8% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 3.31% | 16.41% | 21.09% | 1.66% | 0.14% | 0.0% | 0.14% |
| 19-11 | 35.22% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% | 3.13% | 20.34% | 6.61% | 0.56% | 0.03% | 4.47% |
| 18-12 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 1.86% | 1.44% | 0.16% | 0.0% | 4.21% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 6 seed | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Miss |
| | 0.09% | 1.4% | 9.83% | 25.27% | 44.0% | 9.72% | 0.85% | 0.03% | 8.81% |
| 9-7 | 1.04% | 0.09% | 0.56% | 0.38% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8-8 | 13.25% | 0.0% | 0.79% | 6.06% | 5.68% | 0.71% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 7-9 | 42.8% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 3.31% | 16.41% | 21.09% | 1.66% | 0.14% | 0.0% | 0.14% |
| 6-10 | 35.22% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% | 3.13% | 20.34% | 6.61% | 0.56% | 0.03% | 4.47% |
| 5-11 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 1.86% | 1.44% | 0.16% | 0.0% | 4.21% |