
Illinois State (10-9, 4-4 Missouri Valley)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 12 seed | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.34% | 1.32% | 1.24% | 97.03% |
| 22-9 | 0.2% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.14% |
| 21-10 | 1.57% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.1% | 0.08% | 0.0% | 1.35% |
| 20-11 | 6.15% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.38% | 0.08% | 5.57% |
| 19-12 | 14.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.41% | 0.14% | 13.58% |
| 18-13 | 20.89% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.34% | 0.27% | 20.27% |
| 17-14 | 22.95% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.36% | 22.48% |
| 16-15 | 17.55% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.26% | 17.27% |
| 15-16 | 10.44% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 10.34% |
| 14-17 | 4.53% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 4.5% |
| 13-18 | 1.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.27% |
| 12-19 | 0.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.21% |
| 11-20 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 12 seed | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.34% | 1.32% | 1.24% | 97.03% |
| 16-4 | 0.2% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.14% |
| 15-5 | 1.57% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.1% | 0.08% | 0.0% | 1.35% |
| 14-6 | 6.15% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.38% | 0.08% | 5.57% |
| 13-7 | 14.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.41% | 0.14% | 13.58% |
| 12-8 | 20.89% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.34% | 0.27% | 20.27% |
| 11-9 | 22.95% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.36% | 22.48% |
| 10-10 | 17.55% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.26% | 17.27% |
| 9-11 | 10.44% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 10.34% |
| 8-12 | 4.53% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 4.5% |
| 7-13 | 1.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.27% |
| 6-14 | 0.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.21% |
| 5-15 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% |
Missouri Valley Projected Standings