
Murray State (21-3, 13-1 Missouri Valley)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 10 seed | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 7.41% | 27.46% | 14.34% | 1.07% | 0.08% | 49.63% |
| 27-3 | 11.42% | 0.01% | 4.0% | 2.44% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.95% |
| 26-4 | 34.12% | 0.01% | 3.07% | 13.77% | 2.07% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.2% |
| 25-5 | 35.88% | 0.0% | 0.34% | 10.19% | 7.83% | 0.09% | 0.0% | 17.43% |
| 24-6 | 15.68% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.06% | 4.13% | 0.66% | 0.02% | 9.8% |
| 23-7 | 2.69% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.28% | 0.32% | 0.03% | 2.06% |
| 22-8 | 0.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.17% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 10 seed | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 7.41% | 27.46% | 14.34% | 1.07% | 0.08% | 49.63% |
| 19-1 | 11.42% | 0.01% | 4.0% | 2.44% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.95% |
| 18-2 | 34.12% | 0.01% | 3.07% | 13.77% | 2.07% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.2% |
| 17-3 | 35.88% | 0.0% | 0.34% | 10.19% | 7.83% | 0.09% | 0.0% | 17.43% |
| 16-4 | 15.68% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.06% | 4.13% | 0.66% | 0.02% | 9.8% |
| 15-5 | 2.69% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.28% | 0.32% | 0.03% | 2.06% |
| 14-6 | 0.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.17% |
Missouri Valley Projected Standings