
Utah State (5-12, 2-7 Mountain West)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 15 seed | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.04% | 99.95% |
| 16-12 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 15-13 | 0.07% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% |
| 14-14 | 0.51% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.5% |
| 13-15 | 2.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.21% |
| 12-16 | 7.08% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 7.07% |
| 11-17 | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 14.59% |
| 10-18 | 22.4% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 22.39% |
| 9-19 | 24.32% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 24.32% |
| 8-20 | 16.96% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.96% |
| 7-21 | 8.74% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.74% |
| 6-22 | 2.73% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.73% |
| 5-23 | 0.38% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.38% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 15 seed | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.04% | 99.95% |
| 13-7 | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 12-8 | 0.07% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% |
| 11-9 | 0.51% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.5% |
| 10-10 | 2.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.21% |
| 9-11 | 7.08% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 7.07% |
| 8-12 | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 14.59% |
| 7-13 | 22.4% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 22.39% |
| 6-14 | 24.32% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 24.32% |
| 5-15 | 16.96% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.96% |
| 4-16 | 8.74% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.74% |
| 3-17 | 2.73% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.73% |
| 2-18 | 0.38% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.38% |
Mountain West Projected Standings