
North Carolina (16-4, 4-3 ACC)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 2 seed | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.26% | 3.57% | 20.49% | 33.7% | 24.04% | 12.1% | 4.33% | 1.28% | 0.2% | 0.01% | 0.02% |
| 27-4 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26-5 | 1.02% | 0.0% | 0.15% | 0.73% | 0.14% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25-6 | 4.93% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 1.89% | 2.88% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24-7 | 13.16% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.88% | 9.09% | 3.12% | 0.07% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23-8 | 22.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 7.07% | 14.06% | 1.7% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22-9 | 25.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.26% | 13.38% | 9.57% | 1.08% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21-10 | 18.97% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 2.89% | 10.09% | 5.27% | 0.64% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20-11 | 9.74% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.15% | 2.5% | 4.75% | 2.07% | 0.26% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19-12 | 3.07% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.11% | 0.94% | 1.4% | 0.59% | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 18-13 | 0.76% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.22% | 0.39% | 0.11% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| 17-14 | 0.09% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 2 seed | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.26% | 3.57% | 20.49% | 33.7% | 24.04% | 12.1% | 4.33% | 1.28% | 0.2% | 0.01% | 0.02% |
| 15-3 | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14-4 | 1.02% | 0.0% | 0.15% | 0.73% | 0.14% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13-5 | 4.93% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 1.89% | 2.88% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12-6 | 13.16% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.88% | 9.09% | 3.12% | 0.07% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11-7 | 22.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 7.07% | 14.06% | 1.7% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10-8 | 25.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.26% | 13.38% | 9.57% | 1.08% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 9-9 | 18.97% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 2.89% | 10.09% | 5.27% | 0.64% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8-10 | 9.74% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.15% | 2.5% | 4.75% | 2.07% | 0.26% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 7-11 | 3.07% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.11% | 0.94% | 1.4% | 0.59% | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6-12 | 0.76% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.22% | 0.39% | 0.11% | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| 5-13 | 0.09% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.01% |