
North Carolina (20-6, 8-5 ACC)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 4 seed | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Miss |
| | 0.18% | 7.55% | 49.54% | 36.04% | 6.38% | 0.32% | 0.01% | 0.0% |
| 25-6 | 1.31% | 0.16% | 1.1% | 0.06% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24-7 | 14.96% | 0.02% | 5.17% | 9.68% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23-8 | 35.41% | 0.0% | 1.25% | 28.13% | 6.03% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22-9 | 33.1% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 11.15% | 21.13% | 0.79% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21-10 | 13.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.52% | 8.47% | 4.16% | 0.05% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20-11 | 2.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.32% | 1.43% | 0.27% | 0.01% | 0.0% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 4 seed | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Miss |
| | 0.18% | 7.55% | 49.54% | 36.04% | 6.38% | 0.32% | 0.01% | 0.0% |
| 13-5 | 1.31% | 0.16% | 1.1% | 0.06% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12-6 | 14.96% | 0.02% | 5.17% | 9.68% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11-7 | 35.41% | 0.0% | 1.25% | 28.13% | 6.03% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10-8 | 33.1% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 11.15% | 21.13% | 0.79% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 9-9 | 13.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.52% | 8.47% | 4.16% | 0.05% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8-10 | 2.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.32% | 1.43% | 0.27% | 0.01% | 0.0% |