
UC Davis (11-6, 6-2 Big West)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 12 seed | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.12% | 0.94% | 3.46% | 5.42% | 1.67% | 88.41% |
| 23-6 | 0.47% | 0.06% | 0.14% | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.23% |
| 22-7 | 3.44% | 0.05% | 0.45% | 0.58% | 0.09% | 0.0% | 2.28% |
| 21-8 | 11.44% | 0.01% | 0.3% | 1.42% | 0.62% | 0.01% | 9.07% |
| 20-9 | 20.65% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 1.01% | 1.81% | 0.2% | 17.57% |
| 19-10 | 24.86% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.37% | 2.1% | 0.54% | 21.84% |
| 18-11 | 20.35% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.64% | 0.59% | 19.08% |
| 17-12 | 11.84% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.15% | 0.22% | 11.46% |
| 16-13 | 5.13% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 5.05% |
| 15-14 | 1.52% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.51% |
| 14-15 | 0.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.26% |
| 13-16 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 12 seed | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.12% | 0.94% | 3.46% | 5.42% | 1.67% | 88.41% |
| 18-2 | 0.47% | 0.06% | 0.14% | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.23% |
| 17-3 | 3.44% | 0.05% | 0.45% | 0.58% | 0.09% | 0.0% | 2.28% |
| 16-4 | 11.44% | 0.01% | 0.3% | 1.42% | 0.62% | 0.01% | 9.07% |
| 15-5 | 20.65% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 1.01% | 1.81% | 0.2% | 17.57% |
| 14-6 | 24.86% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.37% | 2.1% | 0.54% | 21.84% |
| 13-7 | 20.35% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.64% | 0.59% | 19.08% |
| 12-8 | 11.84% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.15% | 0.22% | 11.46% |
| 11-9 | 5.13% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 5.05% |
| 10-10 | 1.52% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 1.51% |
| 9-11 | 0.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.26% |
| 8-12 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% |
Big West Projected Standings