
Boise State (12-8, 5-5 Mountain West)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 10 seed | 11 | 12 | 13 | Miss |
| | 0.11% | 2.12% | 0.82% | 0.01% | 96.94% |
| 22-8 | 0.33% | 0.06% | 0.18% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 21-9 | 2.93% | 0.05% | 0.54% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 2.34% |
| 20-10 | 10.32% | 0.01% | 0.53% | 0.05% | 0.0% | 9.74% |
| 19-11 | 21.51% | 0.0% | 0.52% | 0.16% | 0.0% | 20.83% |
| 18-12 | 26.4% | 0.0% | 0.29% | 0.29% | 0.0% | 25.83% |
| 17-13 | 21.86% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.23% | 0.0% | 21.57% |
| 16-14 | 11.92% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 11.84% |
| 15-15 | 3.74% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 3.72% |
| 14-16 | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.89% |
| 13-17 | 0.09% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.09% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 10 seed | 11 | 12 | 13 | Miss |
| | 0.11% | 2.12% | 0.82% | 0.01% | 96.94% |
| 15-5 | 0.33% | 0.06% | 0.18% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 14-6 | 2.93% | 0.05% | 0.54% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 2.34% |
| 13-7 | 10.32% | 0.01% | 0.53% | 0.05% | 0.0% | 9.74% |
| 12-8 | 21.51% | 0.0% | 0.52% | 0.16% | 0.0% | 20.83% |
| 11-9 | 26.4% | 0.0% | 0.29% | 0.29% | 0.0% | 25.83% |
| 10-10 | 21.86% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.23% | 0.0% | 21.57% |
| 9-11 | 11.92% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 11.84% |
| 8-12 | 3.74% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 3.72% |
| 7-13 | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.89% |
| 6-14 | 0.09% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.09% |
Mountain West Projected Standings