
Fresno State (8-11, 3-6 Mountain West)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 99.95% |
| 18-12 | 0.08% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% |
| 17-13 | 0.47% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.46% |
| 16-14 | 2.48% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 2.46% |
| 15-15 | 8.66% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.65% |
| 14-16 | 19.47% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.47% |
| 13-17 | 27.45% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 27.44% |
| 12-18 | 24.74% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 24.72% |
| 11-19 | 12.76% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.76% |
| 10-20 | 3.48% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.48% |
| 9-21 | 0.42% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.42% |
| 8-22 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 99.95% |
| 13-7 | 0.08% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% |
| 12-8 | 0.47% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.46% |
| 11-9 | 2.48% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 2.46% |
| 10-10 | 8.66% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.65% |
| 9-11 | 19.47% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.47% |
| 8-12 | 27.45% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 27.44% |
| 7-13 | 24.74% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 24.72% |
| 6-14 | 12.76% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.76% |
| 5-15 | 3.48% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.48% |
| 4-16 | 0.42% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.42% |
| 3-17 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Mountain West Projected Standings