
San Diego State (17-7, 12-3 Mountain West)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 8 seed | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.61% | 6.54% | 34.64% | 0.16% | 58.05% |
| 22-7 | 5.25% | 0.01% | 0.58% | 3.49% | 1.18% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 21-8 | 22.38% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 2.88% | 16.41% | 0.01% | 3.06% |
| 20-9 | 36.08% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.14% | 12.8% | 0.01% | 23.14% |
| 19-10 | 26.87% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 22.95% |
| 18-11 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.44% | 0.04% | 8.02% |
| 17-12 | 0.92% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.89% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 8 seed | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.61% | 6.54% | 34.64% | 0.16% | 58.05% |
| 17-3 | 5.25% | 0.01% | 0.58% | 3.49% | 1.18% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 16-4 | 22.38% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 2.88% | 16.41% | 0.01% | 3.06% |
| 15-5 | 36.08% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.14% | 12.8% | 0.01% | 23.14% |
| 14-6 | 26.87% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 22.95% |
| 13-7 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.44% | 0.04% | 8.02% |
| 12-8 | 0.92% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.89% |
Mountain West Projected Standings