
Dayton (16-9, 7-5 Atlantic 10)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 11 seed | 12 | 13 | Miss |
| | 0.03% | 1.15% | 0.15% | 98.67% |
| 22-9 | 0.58% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 0.54% |
| 21-10 | 4.85% | 0.02% | 0.17% | 0.02% | 4.65% |
| 20-11 | 17.1% | 0.01% | 0.47% | 0.06% | 16.57% |
| 19-12 | 30.89% | 0.0% | 0.41% | 0.05% | 30.43% |
| 18-13 | 29.39% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 29.3% |
| 17-14 | 14.19% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 14.18% |
| 16-15 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 11 seed | 12 | 13 | Miss |
| | 0.03% | 1.15% | 0.15% | 98.67% |
| 13-5 | 0.58% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 0.54% |
| 12-6 | 4.85% | 0.02% | 0.17% | 0.02% | 4.65% |
| 11-7 | 17.1% | 0.01% | 0.47% | 0.06% | 16.57% |
| 10-8 | 30.89% | 0.0% | 0.41% | 0.05% | 30.43% |
| 9-9 | 29.39% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 29.3% |
| 8-10 | 14.19% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 14.18% |
| 7-11 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% |
Atlantic 10 Projected Standings