
Dayton (14-7, 5-3 Atlantic 10)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 11 seed | 12 | 13 | 14 | Miss |
| | 0.17% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.01% | 98.53% |
| 24-7 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 23-8 | 0.29% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.26% |
| 22-9 | 2.12% | 0.09% | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 1.91% |
| 21-10 | 7.92% | 0.04% | 0.41% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 7.46% |
| 20-11 | 17.5% | 0.02% | 0.31% | 0.05% | 0.0% | 17.13% |
| 19-12 | 25.51% | 0.0% | 0.22% | 0.06% | 0.0% | 25.24% |
| 18-13 | 24.15% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.0% | 24.07% |
| 17-14 | 15.26% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 15.23% |
| 16-15 | 5.85% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.85% |
| 15-16 | 1.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.27% |
| 14-17 | 0.12% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.12% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 11 seed | 12 | 13 | 14 | Miss |
| | 0.17% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.01% | 98.53% |
| 15-3 | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 14-4 | 0.29% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.26% |
| 13-5 | 2.12% | 0.09% | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 1.91% |
| 12-6 | 7.92% | 0.04% | 0.41% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 7.46% |
| 11-7 | 17.5% | 0.02% | 0.31% | 0.05% | 0.0% | 17.13% |
| 10-8 | 25.51% | 0.0% | 0.22% | 0.06% | 0.0% | 25.24% |
| 9-9 | 24.15% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.0% | 24.07% |
| 8-10 | 15.26% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 15.23% |
| 7-11 | 5.85% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.85% |
| 6-12 | 1.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.27% |
| 5-13 | 0.12% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.12% |
Atlantic 10 Projected Standings