
UMBC (10-7, 5-1 America East)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 14 seed | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.02% | 1.51% | 25.02% | 73.45% |
| 20-7 | 0.66% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.13% | 0.36% |
| 19-8 | 4.62% | 0.02% | 0.53% | 1.27% | 2.81% |
| 18-9 | 13.06% | 0.0% | 0.54% | 4.06% | 8.47% |
| 17-10 | 22.64% | 0.0% | 0.21% | 6.65% | 15.78% |
| 16-11 | 25.3% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 6.39% | 18.87% |
| 15-12 | 19.76% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 4.36% | 15.39% |
| 14-13 | 9.93% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.64% | 8.29% |
| 13-14 | 3.29% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.46% | 2.83% |
| 12-15 | 0.69% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% | 0.62% |
| 11-16 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.03% |
| 10-17 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 14 seed | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.02% | 1.51% | 25.02% | 73.45% |
| 15-1 | 0.66% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.13% | 0.36% |
| 14-2 | 4.62% | 0.02% | 0.53% | 1.27% | 2.81% |
| 13-3 | 13.06% | 0.0% | 0.54% | 4.06% | 8.47% |
| 12-4 | 22.64% | 0.0% | 0.21% | 6.65% | 15.78% |
| 11-5 | 25.3% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 6.39% | 18.87% |
| 10-6 | 19.76% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 4.36% | 15.39% |
| 9-7 | 9.93% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.64% | 8.29% |
| 8-8 | 3.29% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.46% | 2.83% |
| 7-9 | 0.69% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% | 0.62% |
| 6-10 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.03% |
| 5-11 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
America East Projected Standings