
UMBC (14-8, 9-2 America East)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 14 seed | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.04% | 5.52% | 31.36% | 63.09% |
| 19-8 | 12.56% | 0.02% | 2.12% | 3.64% | 6.79% |
| 18-9 | 33.95% | 0.02% | 2.6% | 11.99% | 19.34% |
| 17-10 | 34.49% | 0.0% | 0.75% | 10.94% | 22.81% |
| 16-11 | 15.93% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 4.05% | 11.84% |
| 15-12 | 2.83% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.68% | 2.15% |
| 14-13 | 0.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.17% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 14 seed | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.04% | 5.52% | 31.36% | 63.09% |
| 14-2 | 12.56% | 0.02% | 2.12% | 3.64% | 6.79% |
| 13-3 | 33.95% | 0.02% | 2.6% | 11.99% | 19.34% |
| 12-4 | 34.49% | 0.0% | 0.75% | 10.94% | 22.81% |
| 11-5 | 15.93% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 4.05% | 11.84% |
| 10-6 | 2.83% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.68% | 2.15% |
| 9-7 | 0.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.17% |
America East Projected Standings