
Arkansas State (18-4, 10-1 Sun Belt)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 10 seed | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Miss |
| | 0.31% | 12.66% | 10.1% | 1.68% | 0.07% | 75.19% |
| 25-4 | 4.17% | 0.14% | 1.79% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.14% |
| 24-5 | 19.52% | 0.14% | 6.09% | 1.89% | 0.04% | 0.0% | 11.36% |
| 23-6 | 32.78% | 0.04% | 3.73% | 4.44% | 0.41% | 0.0% | 24.16% |
| 22-7 | 27.55% | 0.0% | 0.99% | 2.92% | 0.62% | 0.01% | 23.0% |
| 21-8 | 12.79% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 0.72% | 0.53% | 0.04% | 11.45% |
| 20-9 | 2.83% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 2.73% |
| 19-10 | 0.35% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.34% |
| 18-11 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 10 seed | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Miss |
| | 0.31% | 12.66% | 10.1% | 1.68% | 0.07% | 75.19% |
| 17-1 | 4.17% | 0.14% | 1.79% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.14% |
| 16-2 | 19.52% | 0.14% | 6.09% | 1.89% | 0.04% | 0.0% | 11.36% |
| 15-3 | 32.78% | 0.04% | 3.73% | 4.44% | 0.41% | 0.0% | 24.16% |
| 14-4 | 27.55% | 0.0% | 0.99% | 2.92% | 0.62% | 0.01% | 23.0% |
| 13-5 | 12.79% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 0.72% | 0.53% | 0.04% | 11.45% |
| 12-6 | 2.83% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 2.73% |
| 11-7 | 0.35% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.34% |
| 10-8 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Sun Belt Projected Standings