
UMBC (9-12, 6-5 America East)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 16 seed | Miss |
| | 3.56% | 96.44% |
| 14-12 | 1.61% | 0.09% | 1.52% |
| 13-13 | 13.57% | 0.66% | 12.92% |
| 12-14 | 35.55% | 1.31% | 34.23% |
| 11-15 | 35.94% | 1.19% | 34.75% |
| 10-16 | 12.24% | 0.28% | 11.96% |
| 9-17 | 1.08% | 0.03% | 1.05% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 16 seed | Miss |
| | 3.56% | 96.44% |
| 11-5 | 1.61% | 0.09% | 1.52% |
| 10-6 | 13.57% | 0.66% | 12.92% |
| 9-7 | 35.55% | 1.31% | 34.23% |
| 8-8 | 35.94% | 1.19% | 34.75% |
| 7-9 | 12.24% | 0.28% | 11.96% |
| 6-10 | 1.08% | 0.03% | 1.05% |
America East Projected Standings