
UMBC (7-9, 4-2 America East)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 15 seed | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.04% | 4.87% | 95.09% |
| 17-9 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.04% |
| 16-10 | 0.54% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.45% |
| 15-11 | 3.17% | 0.0% | 0.39% | 2.78% |
| 14-12 | 9.41% | 0.01% | 0.86% | 8.54% |
| 13-13 | 19.96% | 0.01% | 1.3% | 18.65% |
| 12-14 | 26.36% | 0.0% | 1.25% | 25.11% |
| 11-15 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.66% | 21.55% |
| 10-16 | 12.59% | 0.0% | 0.24% | 12.35% |
| 9-17 | 4.77% | 0.0% | 0.09% | 4.68% |
| 8-18 | 0.87% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.87% |
| 7-19 | 0.09% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.09% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 15 seed | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.04% | 4.87% | 95.09% |
| 14-2 | 0.04% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.04% |
| 13-3 | 0.54% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.45% |
| 12-4 | 3.17% | 0.0% | 0.39% | 2.78% |
| 11-5 | 9.41% | 0.01% | 0.86% | 8.54% |
| 10-6 | 19.96% | 0.01% | 1.3% | 18.65% |
| 9-7 | 26.36% | 0.0% | 1.25% | 25.11% |
| 8-8 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.66% | 21.55% |
| 7-9 | 12.59% | 0.0% | 0.24% | 12.35% |
| 6-10 | 4.77% | 0.0% | 0.09% | 4.68% |
| 5-11 | 0.87% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.87% |
| 4-12 | 0.09% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.09% |
America East Projected Standings