
Arkansas State (11-9, 5-5 Sun Belt)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.21% | 5.56% | 5.44% | 0.36% | 88.43% |
| 19-9 | 9.88% | 0.1% | 1.47% | 0.35% | 0.0% | 7.96% |
| 18-10 | 27.61% | 0.1% | 3.03% | 2.03% | 0.01% | 22.44% |
| 17-11 | 31.88% | 0.01% | 1.02% | 2.53% | 0.15% | 28.17% |
| 16-12 | 20.85% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 0.49% | 0.17% | 20.14% |
| 15-13 | 7.71% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 7.65% |
| 14-14 | 1.84% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 1.83% |
| 13-15 | 0.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.23% |
| 12-16 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.21% | 5.56% | 5.44% | 0.36% | 88.43% |
| 13-5 | 9.88% | 0.1% | 1.47% | 0.35% | 0.0% | 7.96% |
| 12-6 | 27.61% | 0.1% | 3.03% | 2.03% | 0.01% | 22.44% |
| 11-7 | 31.88% | 0.01% | 1.02% | 2.53% | 0.15% | 28.17% |
| 10-8 | 20.85% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 0.49% | 0.17% | 20.14% |
| 9-9 | 7.71% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 7.65% |
| 8-10 | 1.84% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 1.83% |
| 7-11 | 0.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.23% |
| 6-12 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Sun Belt Projected Standings