
Arkansas State (14-11, 7-7 Sun Belt)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 1.41% | 4.13% | 0.42% | 94.04% |
| 18-11 | 40.89% | 0.01% | 1.21% | 2.48% | 0.07% | 37.13% |
| 17-12 | 41.66% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.53% | 0.25% | 39.69% |
| 16-13 | 14.89% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.13% | 0.1% | 14.66% |
| 15-14 | 2.43% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 2.42% |
| 14-15 | 0.13% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.13% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 1.41% | 4.13% | 0.42% | 94.04% |
| 11-7 | 40.89% | 0.01% | 1.21% | 2.48% | 0.07% | 37.13% |
| 10-8 | 41.66% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.53% | 0.25% | 39.69% |
| 9-9 | 14.89% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.13% | 0.1% | 14.66% |
| 8-10 | 2.43% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 2.42% |
| 7-11 | 0.13% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.13% |
Sun Belt Projected Standings