| Record | % chance | 16 seed | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01% | 99.99% | ||
| 13-18 | 0.21% | 0.0% | 0.21% |
| 12-19 | 3.61% | 0.01% | 3.61% |
| 11-20 | 21.0% | 0.0% | 21.0% |
| 10-21 | 45.31% | 0.0% | 45.31% |
| 9-22 | 29.87% | 0.0% | 29.87% |
| Record | % chance | 16 seed | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01% | 99.99% | ||
| 10-8 | 0.21% | 0.0% | 0.21% |
| 9-9 | 3.61% | 0.01% | 3.61% |
| 8-10 | 21.0% | 0.0% | 21.0% |
| 7-11 | 45.31% | 0.0% | 45.31% |
| 6-12 | 29.87% | 0.0% | 29.87% |
| Team | Wins | Losses |
|---|---|---|
| Troy | 12.19 | 5.81 |
| Appalachian State | 11.89 | 6.11 |
| South Alabama | 11.8 | 6.2 |
| Marshall | 11.33 | 6.67 |
| Texas State | 10.33 | 7.67 |
| Arkansas State | 10.21 | 7.79 |
| Coastal Carolina | 9.97 | 8.03 |
| Georgia Southern | 8.28 | 9.72 |
| James Madison | 8.26 | 9.74 |
| Southern Miss | 8.17 | 9.83 |
| Georgia State | 7.99 | 10.01 |
| Old Dominion | 7.19 | 10.81 |
| Louisiana | 6.99 | 11.01 |
| ULM | 1.4 | 16.6 |