
Montana State (10-8, 7-1 Big Sky)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.5% | 10.45% | 15.91% | 3.17% | 69.97% |
| 20-8 | 0.68% | 0.12% | 0.29% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.25% |
| 19-9 | 4.44% | 0.18% | 1.82% | 0.45% | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| 18-10 | 13.2% | 0.16% | 3.96% | 2.4% | 0.02% | 6.68% |
| 17-11 | 22.43% | 0.04% | 3.09% | 4.95% | 0.19% | 14.17% |
| 16-12 | 25.32% | 0.01% | 1.09% | 4.81% | 0.63% | 18.8% |
| 15-13 | 19.09% | 0.0% | 0.21% | 2.6% | 1.14% | 15.15% |
| 14-14 | 10.18% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.62% | 0.93% | 8.62% |
| 13-15 | 3.65% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.24% | 3.35% |
| 12-16 | 0.89% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.85% |
| 11-17 | 0.11% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.1% |
| 10-18 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.5% | 10.45% | 15.91% | 3.17% | 69.97% |
| 17-1 | 0.68% | 0.12% | 0.29% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.25% |
| 16-2 | 4.44% | 0.18% | 1.82% | 0.45% | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| 15-3 | 13.2% | 0.16% | 3.96% | 2.4% | 0.02% | 6.68% |
| 14-4 | 22.43% | 0.04% | 3.09% | 4.95% | 0.19% | 14.17% |
| 13-5 | 25.32% | 0.01% | 1.09% | 4.81% | 0.63% | 18.8% |
| 12-6 | 19.09% | 0.0% | 0.21% | 2.6% | 1.14% | 15.15% |
| 11-7 | 10.18% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.62% | 0.93% | 8.62% |
| 10-8 | 3.65% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 0.24% | 3.35% |
| 9-9 | 0.89% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.04% | 0.85% |
| 8-10 | 0.11% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.1% |
| 7-11 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
Big Sky Projected Standings