Overall Record

Record	% chance	1 seed	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Miss
		0.01%	0.05%	0.05%	0.07%	0.17%	0.29%	0.58%	0.84%	1.31%	2.18%	4.79%	8.09%	10.0%	3.88%	1.16%	0.09%	66.48%
30-0	0.18%	0.01%	0.05%	0.02%	0.02%	0.01%	0.02%	0.05%	0.01%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
29-1	0.84%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.05%	0.12%	0.11%	0.15%	0.12%	0.12%	0.1%	0.07%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
28-2	2.12%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.12%	0.24%	0.3%	0.38%	0.42%	0.41%	0.16%	0.02%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.03%
27-3	4.41%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.04%	0.11%	0.32%	0.5%	0.85%	1.29%	0.77%	0.11%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.41%
26-4	6.47%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.04%	0.07%	0.23%	0.5%	1.53%	1.88%	0.46%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.77%
25-5	8.58%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.06%	0.22%	0.98%	2.42%	1.16%	0.04%	0.0%	0.0%	3.69%
24-6	10.19%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.07%	0.39%	1.63%	1.95%	0.08%	0.0%	0.0%	6.07%
23-7	10.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.1%	0.86%	2.34%	0.4%	0.02%	0.0%	7.08%
22-8	10.71%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.03%	0.28%	2.02%	0.72%	0.03%	0.0%	7.64%
21-9	10.26%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.07%	1.2%	0.9%	0.07%	0.0%	8.03%
20-10	9.32%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.57%	0.9%	0.19%	0.0%	7.64%
19-11	7.48%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.14%	0.53%	0.25%	0.0%	6.57%
18-12	5.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.04%	0.21%	0.2%	0.02%	5.13%
17-13	4.65%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.08%	0.18%	0.02%	4.37%
16-14	3.08%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.16%	0.02%	2.89%
15-15	2.03%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.06%	0.02%	1.94%
14-16	1.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.03%	0.02%	1.36%
13-17	0.84%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.84%
12-18	0.53%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.53%
11-19	0.27%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.27%
10-20	0.13%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.13%
9-21	0.06%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.06%
8-22	0.04%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.04%
6-24	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%
5-25	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%

Conference Record

Record	% chance	1 seed	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Miss
		0.01%	0.05%	0.05%	0.07%	0.17%	0.29%	0.58%	0.84%	1.31%	2.18%	4.79%	8.09%	10.0%	3.88%	1.16%	0.09%	66.48%
22-0	0.51%	0.01%	0.05%	0.03%	0.02%	0.03%	0.04%	0.08%	0.06%	0.06%	0.06%	0.07%	0.02%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
21-1	2.26%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.05%	0.12%	0.15%	0.23%	0.24%	0.31%	0.41%	0.35%	0.25%	0.04%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.12%
20-2	5.04%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.09%	0.2%	0.33%	0.47%	0.75%	1.21%	0.92%	0.24%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%
19-3	8.42%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.07%	0.19%	0.36%	0.58%	1.54%	1.93%	0.88%	0.07%	0.0%	0.0%	2.79%
18-4	11.27%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.02%	0.09%	0.29%	1.07%	2.39%	1.85%	0.14%	0.01%	0.0%	5.41%
17-5	13.16%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.07%	0.38%	1.7%	2.54%	0.47%	0.04%	0.0%	7.93%
16-6	12.97%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.14%	0.66%	2.24%	0.82%	0.07%	0.0%	9.03%
15-7	12.21%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.18%	1.36%	0.97%	0.14%	0.01%	9.53%
14-8	10.82%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.05%	0.59%	0.86%	0.23%	0.01%	9.08%
13-9	8.43%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.39%	0.27%	0.01%	7.55%
12-10	5.77%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.05%	0.11%	0.19%	0.03%	5.4%
11-11	4.03%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.06%	0.16%	0.03%	3.79%
10-12	2.44%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.06%	0.01%	2.37%
9-13	1.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	1.29%
8-14	0.75%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.75%
7-15	0.38%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.38%
6-16	0.17%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.17%
5-17	0.07%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.07%
4-18	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%
2-20	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%

Big West Projected Standings

Team	Wins	Losses
UC San Diego	15.6	6.4
UC Santa Barbara	15.57	6.43
UC Irvine	14.19	7.81
Utah Valley	13.4	8.6
Cal Poly	11.21	10.79
Cal State Northridge	10.44	11.56
Sacramento State	10.34	11.66
Cal State Fullerton	9.32	12.68
UC Riverside	9.22	12.78
Cal State Bakersfield	8.2	13.8
Long Beach State	8.05	13.95
California Baptist	6.45	15.55

UC Santa Barbara (1-0, 0-0 Big West)

Win conference:

30.85%

Make tournament:

33.52%

Auto bid:

26.91%

Final Four:

0.18%

Win championship:

0.03%

Overall Record

Conference Record

Big West Projected Standings