
UC Santa Barbara (15-9, 10-5 Big West)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 12 seed | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 1.98% | 10.75% | 3.05% | 0.05% | 84.17% |
| 20-9 | 4.09% | 0.01% | 0.66% | 1.22% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 2.18% |
| 19-10 | 19.83% | 0.0% | 0.91% | 4.31% | 0.55% | 0.0% | 14.06% |
| 18-11 | 36.87% | 0.0% | 0.39% | 4.25% | 1.33% | 0.01% | 30.9% |
| 17-12 | 28.64% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.93% | 0.91% | 0.02% | 26.77% |
| 16-13 | 9.46% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 0.21% | 0.03% | 9.17% |
| 15-14 | 1.12% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 1.09% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 12 seed | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 1.98% | 10.75% | 3.05% | 0.05% | 84.17% |
| 15-5 | 4.09% | 0.01% | 0.66% | 1.22% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 2.18% |
| 14-6 | 19.83% | 0.0% | 0.91% | 4.31% | 0.55% | 0.0% | 14.06% |
| 13-7 | 36.87% | 0.0% | 0.39% | 4.25% | 1.33% | 0.01% | 30.9% |
| 12-8 | 28.64% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.93% | 0.91% | 0.02% | 26.77% |
| 11-9 | 9.46% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.05% | 0.21% | 0.03% | 9.17% |
| 10-10 | 1.12% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.0% | 1.09% |
Big West Projected Standings