
UC Santa Barbara (11-7, 6-3 Big West)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.26% | 3.37% | 4.54% | 1.12% | 90.72% |
| 22-7 | 0.15% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% |
| 21-8 | 0.96% | 0.07% | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.58% |
| 20-9 | 4.55% | 0.1% | 0.99% | 0.36% | 0.01% | 3.1% |
| 19-10 | 12.18% | 0.03% | 1.03% | 0.96% | 0.03% | 10.13% |
| 18-11 | 20.68% | 0.01% | 0.87% | 1.58% | 0.21% | 18.01% |
| 17-12 | 24.28% | 0.0% | 0.12% | 1.11% | 0.35% | 22.71% |
| 16-13 | 20.22% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 0.44% | 0.33% | 19.42% |
| 15-14 | 11.12% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% | 0.16% | 10.89% |
| 14-15 | 4.45% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 4.43% |
| 13-16 | 1.19% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 1.16% |
| 12-17 | 0.22% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.22% |
| 11-18 | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 13 seed | 14 | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.26% | 3.37% | 4.54% | 1.12% | 90.72% |
| 17-3 | 0.15% | 0.05% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% |
| 16-4 | 0.96% | 0.07% | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.58% |
| 15-5 | 4.55% | 0.1% | 0.99% | 0.36% | 0.01% | 3.1% |
| 14-6 | 12.18% | 0.03% | 1.03% | 0.96% | 0.03% | 10.13% |
| 13-7 | 20.68% | 0.01% | 0.87% | 1.58% | 0.21% | 18.01% |
| 12-8 | 24.28% | 0.0% | 0.12% | 1.11% | 0.35% | 22.71% |
| 11-9 | 20.22% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 0.44% | 0.33% | 19.42% |
| 10-10 | 11.12% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.08% | 0.16% | 10.89% |
| 9-11 | 4.45% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.03% | 4.43% |
| 8-12 | 1.19% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 1.16% |
| 7-13 | 0.22% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.22% |
| 6-14 | 0.02% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% |
Big West Projected Standings