Overall Record

Record	% chance	1 seed	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Miss
		0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.01%	0.04%	0.09%	0.12%	0.19%	0.26%	0.61%	1.45%	2.53%	4.52%	2.99%	1.38%	0.26%	85.51%
27-0	0.03%	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
26-1	0.05%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
25-2	0.29%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.03%	0.05%	0.06%	0.06%	0.05%	0.04%	0.01%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
24-3	0.67%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.02%	0.06%	0.08%	0.12%	0.15%	0.15%	0.05%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.05%
23-4	1.61%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.08%	0.25%	0.5%	0.37%	0.08%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.28%
22-5	2.66%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.13%	0.49%	0.66%	0.33%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.04%
21-6	4.41%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.04%	0.25%	0.77%	0.6%	0.03%	0.0%	0.0%	2.7%
20-7	6.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.06%	0.43%	1.08%	0.24%	0.0%	0.0%	4.68%
19-8	8.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.18%	1.2%	0.52%	0.01%	0.0%	6.59%
18-9	9.43%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.06%	0.75%	0.63%	0.08%	0.0%	7.91%
17-10	10.69%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.33%	0.74%	0.19%	0.0%	9.43%
16-11	10.73%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.12%	0.56%	0.32%	0.0%	9.73%
15-12	10.56%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.03%	0.22%	0.31%	0.02%	10.0%
14-13	9.32%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.04%	0.29%	0.06%	8.92%
13-14	7.24%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.13%	0.1%	7.0%
12-15	6.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.04%	0.04%	5.92%
11-16	4.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.05%	4.33%
10-17	3.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	3.0%
9-18	1.94%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.94%
8-19	0.96%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.96%
7-20	0.59%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.59%
6-21	0.26%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.26%
5-22	0.13%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.13%
4-23	0.03%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.03%
3-24	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%
2-25	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%

Conference Record

Record	% chance	1 seed	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Miss
		0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.01%	0.04%	0.09%	0.12%	0.19%	0.26%	0.61%	1.45%	2.53%	4.52%	2.99%	1.38%	0.26%	85.51%
22-0	0.07%	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
21-1	0.43%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.03%	0.06%	0.06%	0.05%	0.07%	0.04%	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.05%
20-2	1.32%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.03%	0.08%	0.06%	0.13%	0.18%	0.27%	0.26%	0.08%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.24%
19-3	2.76%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.02%	0.05%	0.04%	0.21%	0.48%	0.59%	0.31%	0.02%	0.0%	0.0%	1.03%
18-4	4.94%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%	0.03%	0.12%	0.41%	0.72%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	2.85%
17-5	7.47%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.04%	0.17%	0.54%	1.12%	0.42%	0.02%	0.0%	5.16%
16-6	9.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.05%	0.26%	1.12%	0.55%	0.08%	0.0%	7.65%
15-7	11.22%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.09%	0.69%	0.77%	0.13%	0.0%	9.54%
14-8	11.95%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.0%	0.03%	0.37%	0.63%	0.32%	0.0%	10.6%
13-9	12.35%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.08%	0.33%	0.3%	0.04%	11.6%
12-10	10.8%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.04%	0.15%	0.3%	0.08%	10.24%
11-11	8.59%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.04%	0.16%	0.05%	8.34%
10-12	6.93%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.07%	0.07%	6.79%
9-13	4.72%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	0.03%	4.69%
8-14	3.28%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%	3.28%
7-15	1.79%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.79%
6-16	0.98%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.98%
5-17	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%
4-18	0.22%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.22%
3-19	0.05%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.05%
2-20	0.02%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.02%
1-21	0.01%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.01%

Big West Projected Standings

Team	Wins	Losses
UC San Diego	15.6	6.4
UC Santa Barbara	15.57	6.43
UC Irvine	14.19	7.81
Utah Valley	13.4	8.6
Cal Poly	11.21	10.79
Cal State Northridge	10.44	11.56
Sacramento State	10.34	11.66
Cal State Fullerton	9.32	12.68
UC Riverside	9.22	12.78
Cal State Bakersfield	8.2	13.8
Long Beach State	8.05	13.95
California Baptist	6.45	15.55

Utah Valley (1-0, 0-0 Big West)

Win conference:

11.23%

Make tournament:

14.49%

Auto bid:

12.44%

Final Four:

0.04%

Win championship:

0.0%

Overall Record

Conference Record

Big West Projected Standings