
Dayton (11-11, 4-7 Atlantic 10)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 14 seed | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 99.98% |
| 18-11 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 17-12 | 0.45% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.45% |
| 16-13 | 3.66% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 3.65% |
| 15-14 | 12.86% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 12.86% |
| 14-15 | 26.84% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.84% |
| 13-16 | 31.62% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 31.61% |
| 12-17 | 19.66% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.66% |
| 11-18 | 4.91% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.91% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 14 seed | 15 | 16 | Miss |
| | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 99.98% |
| 11-7 | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% |
| 10-8 | 0.45% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.45% |
| 9-9 | 3.66% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 3.65% |
| 8-10 | 12.86% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 12.86% |
| 7-11 | 26.84% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.84% |
| 6-12 | 31.62% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 31.61% |
| 5-13 | 19.66% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.66% |
| 4-14 | 4.91% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.91% |
Atlantic 10 Projected Standings