
North Carolina (21-6, 10-4 ACC)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 3 seed | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Miss |
| | 0.03% | 1.58% | 16.61% | 41.89% | 30.06% | 7.8% | 1.24% | 0.58% | 0.14% | 0.07% |
| 25-6 | 13.54% | 0.03% | 1.51% | 9.38% | 2.63% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24-7 | 38.62% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 7.07% | 27.73% | 3.54% | 0.18% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23-8 | 36.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.16% | 11.27% | 22.16% | 2.17% | 0.42% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.0% |
| 22-9 | 11.35% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.26% | 4.36% | 5.46% | 0.79% | 0.41% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| 21-10 | 0.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.09% | 0.07% | 0.05% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 3 seed | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Miss |
| | 0.03% | 1.58% | 16.61% | 41.89% | 30.06% | 7.8% | 1.24% | 0.58% | 0.14% | 0.07% |
| 14-4 | 13.54% | 0.03% | 1.51% | 9.38% | 2.63% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13-5 | 38.62% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 7.07% | 27.73% | 3.54% | 0.18% | 0.03% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12-6 | 36.27% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.16% | 11.27% | 22.16% | 2.17% | 0.42% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.0% |
| 11-7 | 11.35% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.26% | 4.36% | 5.46% | 0.79% | 0.41% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| 10-8 | 0.21% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.09% | 0.07% | 0.05% |