
Virginia (14-6, 6-3 ACC)
Overall Record
| Record | % chance | 7 seed | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Miss |
| | 0.02% | 0.13% | 1.02% | 6.61% | 4.52% | 0.08% | 87.64% |
| 23-6 | 0.28% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.15% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22-7 | 2.12% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 0.5% | 1.16% | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.1% |
| 21-8 | 7.83% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.31% | 3.01% | 1.45% | 0.03% | 3.02% |
| 20-9 | 17.52% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 1.9% | 1.94% | 0.03% | 13.59% |
| 19-10 | 25.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.46% | 0.69% | 0.01% | 24.54% |
| 18-11 | 23.88% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 23.73% |
| 17-12 | 14.85% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 14.84% |
| 16-13 | 6.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.23% |
| 15-14 | 1.44% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.44% |
| 14-15 | 0.17% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.17% |
Conference Record
| Record | % chance | 7 seed | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Miss |
| | 0.02% | 0.13% | 1.02% | 6.61% | 4.52% | 0.08% | 87.64% |
| 15-3 | 0.28% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.15% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14-4 | 2.12% | 0.0% | 0.06% | 0.5% | 1.16% | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.1% |
| 13-5 | 7.83% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.31% | 3.01% | 1.45% | 0.03% | 3.02% |
| 12-6 | 17.52% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.07% | 1.9% | 1.94% | 0.03% | 13.59% |
| 11-7 | 25.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.46% | 0.69% | 0.01% | 24.54% |
| 10-8 | 23.88% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.02% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 23.73% |
| 9-9 | 14.85% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 14.84% |
| 8-10 | 6.23% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.23% |
| 7-11 | 1.44% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.44% |
| 6-12 | 0.17% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.17% |